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SPC MD 707
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#720929
Fri 26 Apr 2024 06:45:PM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
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Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0140 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Valid 281200Z - 041200Z
A strong mid-level trough will shift into the Upper Midwest on Sunday/Monday. Beyond Monday a more zonal pattern should lead to relatively benign fire weather conditions for much of the day 4-8 period. The only exception will be mid-week when some potential for lee cyclogenesis in Colorado may increase fire-weather potential.
...Day 3/Sunday - Southern High Plains... Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High Plains again on Sunday. These conditions should be mostly confined to southeast New Mexico and vicinity where stronger mid-level flow should be present and at least some weak lee cyclogenesis is possible with a passing weak mid-level shortwave trough.
...Day 6/Wednesday - eastern New Mexico... Some forecast guidance shows a mid-level shortwave trough moving across the Rockies by mid-week with a lee cyclone developing. If this occurs, some dry and breezy conditions will be likely across portions of eastern New Mexico. However, there is still considerable model uncertainty with respect to the evolution of the pattern, and winds are relatively weak with forecast solutions which do have a stronger lee cyclone. For those reasons, no probabilities have been added at this time. The pattern will continue to be monitored.
..Bentley.. 04/26/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/
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