Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018


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FONT12 KNHC 040846
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
0900 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

WHITING FLD FL 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

PENSACOLA FL 34 1 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

GFMX 290N 870W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 71 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 28 X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)

MOBILE AL 34 1 58(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
MOBILE AL 50 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
MOBILE AL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

GULFPORT MS 34 X 93(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
GULFPORT MS 50 X 47(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
GULFPORT MS 64 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

STENNIS MS 34 X 84(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
STENNIS MS 50 X 38(38) 5(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
STENNIS MS 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

BURAS LA 34 X 21(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
BURAS LA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

JACKSON MS 34 X 10(10) 40(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
JACKSON MS 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 30(30) 4(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



Source: Tropical Storm Gordon Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8


David Cottle

UBB Owner & Administrator