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#717575
Tue 02 Apr 2024 04:30:AM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
SPC MD 335MD 0335 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 70... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHEASTERN TEXAS AND FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0335 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1045 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024
Areas affected...portions of southeastern Oklahoma into northeastern Texas and far western Arkansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70...
Valid 020345Z - 020515Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70 continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70. The main severe threat exists across northern portions of the watch as a line of storms approaches from the west. Damaging gusts are the main threat, though a tornado cannot be ruled out.
DISCUSSION...The earlier QLCS with embedded supercells across northern TX has diminished in intensity given increasing inhibition. However, a pronounced QLCS is in progress across central OK, and this convection may move into Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70 over the next few hours with a damaging gust threat. Portions of the watch across eastern OK into western AR will most likely experience this QLCS later this evening. It is unclear how far south the QLCS will build into TX, so the severe threat is more conditional across the TX portion of the watch. Regional VADs, 03Z mesoanalysis, and RAP forecast soundings all show elongated hodographs with decent low-level curvature. However, CINH is increasing above the boundary layer given nocturnal cooling, tempering the tornado threat. Nonetheless, a tornado cannot be completely ruled out if a QLCS circulation can ingest any surface-based parcels.
..Squitieri.. 04/02/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 33639449 33409486 33329588 33439637 33469647 33789630 35309524 36219452 36299369 35819349 33639449
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0335.html
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