Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Valid 171200Z - 231200Z

A shortwave trough lifting into the Great Lakes region mid to late
this week will continue to weaken while another shortwave will pivot
through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains by late in the
week. The secondary trough is forecast to intensify across the Great
Lakes into the Northeast during the weekend. Across the southern
tier of the U.S., flow aloft will remain relatively zonal through
the period. At the surface, a weak lee cyclone is expected to
develop in southeast Colorado on Wednesday. As this moves eastward
along with the upper trough to the north, cooler air will filter
into the southern Plains. A secondary surge of cooler air will push
into the northern Gulf during the weekend.

...Southern High Plains...
Elevated to perhaps locally critical conditions appear possible as
the southeastern Colorado low develops on Wednesday afternoon. Winds
of 15-20 mph will overlap very low RH of around 10-15%. Fire weather
concerns will be somewhat localized near the terrain to the
southwest of the surface low.

...Western/Central New Mexico...
As the back door cold front pushes against the southern Rockies late
this week into the weekend, generally dry conditions are expected
across the Southwest. As fuels are continuing to dry within New
Mexico, it is possible some fire weather risk will exist for central
and western parts of the state. This would most likely occur on
Saturday when a low-amplitude trough approaches from the west. Model
and fuel trends will continue to be monitored.

..Wendt.. 04/15/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...