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#720101
Sat 20 Apr 2024 06:39:PM
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Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903
Launch Director
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OP
Launch Director
Joined: Feb 2001
Posts: 381,903 |
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather OutlookSPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
The previous forecast remains on track. Occasionally dry and breezy conditions, perhaps locally exceeding Elevated thresholds at times, remain possible tomorrow (Sunday) afternoon from Montana to the Lower Michigan Peninsula. Nonetheless, fuels still appear marginally receptive for supporting significant wildfire spread, precluding the addition of Elevated highlights this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 04/20/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024/
...Synopsis... A strong midlevel westerly jet streak will cross the northern Rockies during peak heating, while a related cold front overspreads the region. This will promote strong, post-frontal westerly surface winds across portions of northern MT, which could briefly overlap 20-30 percent RH. As a result, locally elevated fire-weather conditions are possible.
Farther east, the southern periphery of a belt of strong deep-layer northwesterly flow will overspread MN, WI, and Lower MI. Boundary-layer heating and related mixing into the enhanced flow aloft will yield breezy/gusty surface winds amid 25-35 percent RH. While locally elevated conditions are possible, uncertainty regarding fuels and marginal winds/RH limit confidence in the large-fire threat.
Lastly, locally elevated conditions are possible over portions of east-central FL during the afternoon, where diurnal heating amid enhanced deep-layer westerly flow should favor breezy/gusty surface winds and around 30 percent RH. Overall, these conditions appear too localized for an Elevated area at this time.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
Read morehttps://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
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